High Yield or Investment Grade?

Making the Right Call in Today's Market

With high yield spreads near historic tights and the macro backdrop still evolving, today’s market calls for a careful balance between seeking income and managing risk. In our portfolios, we believe there are opportunities to pare down risk while remaining invested through a combination of sector and security analysis. We are selectively participating in the high yield market where we see compelling value, but often leaning into investment grade opportunities as well, as many offer better risk-adjusted returns.

Staying Selective in High Yield

While the high yield market continues to offer attractive income, with the recent market movement, it may not be compensating investors enough for potential downside risks. This gives us good reason to be more cautious in the sector. This is expressly true farther down the credit spectrum and why we invest predominantly in BB-rated bonds in the high yield space. Fundamentals remain solid overall, but spreads are tight (Figure 1) and defaults are rising slightly off the low levels we’ve seen for the past few years.

 

 

While the investment grade market similarly has rallied, we believe the downside risks, in some cases, are less substantial. We’re focusing on credits with resilient business models, strong cash flows, and management teams we trust. We believe being selective is critical to delivering strong risk-adjusted returns and our actively managed strategies work to avoid draw-downs through credit events. We believe that’s the ideal strategy — while still holding high yield for its broader diversification and other benefits.

Opportunistically Finding Value in Investment Grade

While we believe that high yield exposure continues to be an important allocation in multi-sector bond portfolios, in certain cases, we’ve found investment grade bonds offer better value for the risk taken. Whether it’s due to dislocations in specific sectors, our credit view differing from the rating agencies, or periods of market volatility, we are actively shifting up in quality when the relative compensation makes sense. This flexibility to pivot as market conditions evolve is important in today’s market.

As always, our goal is to build resilient portfolios that can weather a range of market environments. This means staying nimble, focusing on fundamentals, and being willing to favor quality when the trade-off is right. This is where active management proves its value: giving us the tools to respond in real time to market shifts and to help our clients stay well positioned for the long term.

Disclosures

This represents the views and opinions of GW&K Investment Management and does not constitute investment advice, nor should it be considered predictive of any future market performance. Data is from what we believe to be reliable sources, but it cannot be guaranteed. Opinions expressed are subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Indexes are not subject to fees and expenses typically associated with managed accounts or investment funds. Investments cannot be made directly in an index. Index data has been obtained from third-party data providers that GW&K believes to be reliable, but GW&K does not guarantee its accuracy, completeness or timeliness. Third-party data providers make no warranties or representations relating to the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the data they provide and are not liable for any damages relating to this data. The third-party data may not be further redistributed or used without the relevant third-party’s consent. Sources for index data include: Bloomberg, FactSet, ICE, FTSE Russell, MSCI and Standard & Poor’s.

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